The Korea Central Cancer Registry conducted the National Epidemiologic Survey of Thyroid cancer (NEST) to investigate changes in the epidemiological and clinical characteristics of thyroid cancer patients between 1999 and 2008. The NEST was designed to collect representative samples of patients with thyroid cancer diagnosed in the years 1999, 2005, and 2008 using a proportionally stratified and systematic random sampling method. Among 42,891 participants diagnosed with thyroid cancer, 5,796 participants were included in the final study population. This survey collected information on diagnostic methods and date, route of diagnosis, prior medical history and history of thyroid-related disease, tumor, lymph node, metastasis and collaborative stage, and treatment. The NEST dataset was also linked to the cause-of-death database from Statistics Korea. The mean age of the study participants was 46.9 years. The ratio of men to women was 1:5.5. In the analysis of the histologic type of cancer, the proportion of papillary thyroid carcinoma showed an increasing trend (p<0.01). In contrast, the proportion of distant metastasis and the mean tumor size of thyroid cancers showed decreasing trends over time (p<0.01, respectively).
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최근 갑상선암의 발생 증가는 과진단에 기인한 것이란 주장이 제기되었다. 과진단은 ‘평생동안 몰랐을 암을 검진으로 알아낸 경우’로 정의하는 바, 예상보다 늦은 진행으로 예후가 더 좋고 치료를 안해도 사망률 변동을 만들지 못하는 암에 대하여 반복되는 암검진에 더 잘 진단되는 기간차이 바이어스가 개입되는 것을 제대로 통제하지 못해서 생긴 것이다. 검진을 더 이상 하지 않았을 경우 발생률이 본래대로 되돌아오지 않는 현상을 보이거나, 사망률과 발생률 간의 변동에서 큰 차이를 보일 때 과진단이 있다고 판단한다. 국내에서 발생하는 과진단의 크기를 측정하기 위한 방법들을 알아보기 위하여, 기존의 유방암 조기검진용 유방촬영술에 대한 과진단 크기를 알아낸 연구방법들을 살펴보았다.
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