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Epidemiol Health > Volume 41; 2019 > Article
Epidemiology and Health 2019;41: e2019044-0.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.4178/epih.e2019044    Published online Oct 10, 2019.
Estimating the medical capacity required to administer mass prophylaxis: a hypothetical outbreak of smallpox virus infection in Korea
Sangwoo Tak1  , Soomin Lim1  , Heesu Kim2 
1Institute of Health and Environment, Seoul National University, Seoul, Korea
2Department of International Health, Bloomberg School of Public Health, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD, USA
Correspondence  Sangwoo Tak ,Email: taksw@snu.ac.kr
Received: Jul 31, 2019  Accepted after revision: Oct 10, 2019
Abstract
OBJECTIVES:
The aim of this study was to estimate the medical surge capacity required for mass prophylaxis based on a hypothetical outbreak of smallpox.
METHODS:
We performed a simulation using the Bioterrorism and Epidemic Outbreak Response Model and varied some important parameters, such as the number of core medical personnel and the number of dispensing clinics.
RESULTS:
Gaps were identified in the medical surge capacity of the Korean government, especially in the number of medical personnel who could respond to the need for mass prophylaxis against smallpox.
CONCLUSIONS:
The Korean government will need to train 1,000 or more medical personnel for such an event, and will need to prepare many more dispensing centers than are currently available.
Keywords: Smallpox, Surge capacity, Government, Vaccination
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